Copyright © 2021 Euromaidanpress.com

The work of Euromaidan Press is supported by the International Renaissance Foundation

When referencing our materials, please include an active hyperlink to the Euromaidan Press material and a maximum 500-character extract of the story. To reprint anything longer, written permission must be acquired from [email protected].

Privacy and Cookie Policies.

Dmitry Tymchuk’s Military Blog: Summary – August 8, 2014

Dmitry Tymchuk’s Military Blog: Summary – August 8, 2014

Brothers and sisters!

Here’s the Summary for August 8, 2014 (for previous summary, please see Summary for August 7).

The bad news:

1. If Putin gives the command to his occupiers to enter Ukraine under the guise of “peacekeepers” (and such a probability is rather high), then initially it will be an option for a Russian military escort of Moscow’s so-called “humanitarian aid” for Donbas, which will be brought in through the border corridor controlled by the insurgents. Accordingly, the “aid” will exclusively target the residents of districts controlled by pro-Russian terrorists only.

The intention is clear: if at least one Russian “peacekeeper” dies, the Kremlin will start yelling about the “junta’s” shooting at the humanitarian mission, which may be a cause for open aggression by Russia. If Ukraine does not react to this provocation, it might become an excuse to introduce a fully-fledged “peacekeeping contingent” to participate in bringing Donbas under control.

The political measures to disrupt this plan have already been undertaken–in particular, the Kyiv has officially made it clear that any “peacekeepers” from Russia will be considered direct military aggression by Moscow. Meanwhile, the West has fully supported such an assessment.

We are waiting for [further] developments–or better, the lack thereof. The wasteheaps of Donbas, although not the paradise island of Kauai’s Glass Beach, are still hardly worth profaning them with the fraternal graves of Putin’s fighters.

2. Today we received data from the military doctors. They confirmed that during the ATO, no more than seven Ukrainian servicemen died during transport [from the battlefield to a medical facility] (earlier, as of August 5th, the National Security and Defense Council [NSDC] talked about five deceased during transit, i.e. the data are approximately the same).

[I am] infinitely sorry for every one of our soldiers and officers who died on the battlefield or from their wounds. But it is impossible to understand the speculation on these deaths.

We checked the information about those who died in transport because a few days ago–not anonymous social networks users–but certain Ukrainian politicians, reported [there were] hundreds of such deaths. Where they get their information from is unknown. As is the reason as to why they spread this around, causing panic.

3. Russia’s Investigative Committee filed a petition for the arrest of five servicemen from the Ukrainian 72nd Brigade, and of course the Russian court arrested them. Russian investigators say that our military used “phosphorous” ammunition.

It is necessary to carefully consider the official announcement of the Russian Investigative Committee, “…It is unlikely that the detained Ukrainian servicemen, who, in the nationalist frenzy, were heading out for a punitive operation could imagine that sooner or later they would have to answer for all their crimes. And now, instead of gallant marches in their honor on Maidan, as they probably imagined, instead of the promised awards, a banal court awaits them…”

Good people, and the investigator says this? This is the lawyer’s [speaking] style? I read [it], and I see the nonsense of a loudmouth and propagandist or a prostituting journalist from a little yellow rag, but not an officer of the Law.

The fact of the matter is that Putin not just turned the Russian Themis into his personal whore. All of Russia today is a cheap farce that has a “Freak show” performance as its permanent fixture.

read more

Dmitry Tymchuk, Coordinator, Information Resistance
Translated and edited by Voices of Ukraine

You could close this page. Or you could join our community and help us produce more materials like this.  We keep our reporting open and accessible to everyone because we believe in the power of free information. This is why our small, cost-effective team depends on the support of readers like you to bring deliver timely news, quality analysis, and on-the-ground reports about Russia's war against Ukraine and Ukraine's struggle to build a democratic society. A little bit goes a long way: for as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!

To suggest a correction or clarification, write to us here

You can also highlight the text and press Ctrl + Enter

Please leave your suggestions or corrections here


    Related Posts

    February 12: ”Normandy Four” negotiations concluded in Minsk with a disappointing result for Ukraine

    February 12 – "Normandy Four" negotiations concluded in Minsk with a disappointing result for Ukraine. Putin did not give in on a single point – there will be no withdrawal of Russian troops (they are, of course, nowhere close to Ukraine), no immediate resumption of control over the border, no reinstatement of sovereignty over occupied Crimea or Donbas. There are, however, the obligations on behalf of Ukraine to service social needs of separatists, legalize their armed gangs and hold fake elections under their watchful eye. The situation looks a lot like the surrender of Sudetenland (Czechoslovakia) to Hitler.

    February 12 – Total financial assistance to Ukraine from the IMF and other organizations could amount to 40 billion dollars over 4 years, – said IMF's Managing Director Christine Lagarde.

    February 12 – Russian Ministry for Emergency Situations has announced the preparations for the 14th so-called humanitarian aid convoy destined for Donbas – more weapons will be transported, no doubt.

    February 12 – Russia has transferred another lot of military equipment and artillery to the territory of Ukraine, controlled by militants – approximately 50 tanks, 40 "Grad", "Uragan" and "Smerch" multiple rocket launch systems and 40 armored vehicles crossed Russian-Ukrainian border at border crossing point Izvaryne, – said NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko.

    February 12 – The transfer of the amphibious assault ship "Vladivostok" (Mistral-class) to Russia could begin as early as next week.

    February 12 – EU High Representative for Common Foreign and Security Policy Federica Mogherini does not expect sanctions against Russia to be discussed during the summit of EU member-states leaders to be held on Thursday.

    February 12 – Secretary General of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) Lamberto Zannier hassaid that at present it is impossible to determine whether the militants in Donbas are also soldiers of the regular Russian army. OSCE has completely exhausted itself as a security-oriented organization.

    February 12 – Agreements reached in Minsk during the meeting of the leaders of the countries of the "Normandy quartet" are absolutely weak. This was stated by the President of Lithuania, Dalia Grybaskaite, to journalists in Brussels before the EU Summit. "The fundamental part of the resolution is the control of the borders. It was not agreed upon and not resolved," she noted. "This means that the border is open for crossing by whatever soldiers and whatever artillery," remarked Grybaskaite. "This means that the resolution is totally weak," emphasized the President of Lithuania. She is also not very optimistic about the agreements on the cease-fire.

    "Five months ago we already had one agreement about a cease-fire which was not implemented. Let's see what happens with this one," underlined Grybaskaite. "We will observe in the next few days how at least these partial agreements will be implemented," she added.

    War is hell! (photo report from occupied Vuhlehirsk)

    Russia lies... great start to Minsk agreement (Savchenko cannot be released!!)

    Timothy Ash

    Ukraine – deal thoughts


    I guess with hindsight, a deal was always going to be done. Merkel was not going to get on a flight to Minsk, after Kyiv, Moscow, and Berlin, and not get something. And Putin needed to try and rebuild some bridges with Merkel, after seemingly upsetting her at Brisbane. Merkel is probably the honest broker in all this. She really feels for the Ukrainian position, but understands the real threat from Russia – she reads Putin better than any other Western leader, and cannot be bought. But it is Bismark-style real politik for Merkel, and she was desperate to stop the fighting – almost at any cost, which is entirely understandable. Hollande will likely get his aircraft carriers delivered, and sees all this as offering the hope of ressurection in terms of his presidency at home – a global leader, strutting the international stage and making Cameron, et al look like poodles, or rather a bulldog with no teeth. Putin gets his aircraft carriers, which will no doubt have a nice shiny berth now awaiting in Sebastopol. Putin also fended off near term threats of sanctions from the West, and can sell himself to allies in Europe (there are many) as a peacemaker – again heading off further sanctions threats. He has also not agreed to very much, as I don't think his signature is on the document, so if it fails (and it likely will) he can blame others. He has also headed off the threat of the US arming Ukraine – and therein he is in cahoots with Obama himself, who will see this deal as being useful in fending off calls from the DC consensus (including within his own administration) now to arm Ukraine – and can return to his own "splendid isolation" or "strategic patience" as it is now called stateside. That's a nice term for doing as little as possible. Poroshenko gets his IMF programme, and can try and roll out reforms attached to this to try and assure the supporters of Maydan that this team is really the Real Deal in terms of the reforms they so desire. Note the IMF press release was timed for 10am, just as news of the Minsk deal broke – so my sense is that someone was telling the Ukrainians that an IMF deal was contingent on a Minsk ceasefire deal. No ceasefire – no IMF deal. And the IMF gets to roll out its new programme, which it has been working on for months. Poroshenko probably also thinks that the ceasefire will buy time for Ukraine to regroup, rearm against the clear and present danger of further Russian intervention. But will it all stick/last? I just do not think so, as I still fail to see from this deal what is different to Minsk I in terms of delivery on Russian strategic objectives in Ukraine. Minsk I clearly did not deliver for Russia, hence that ceasefire did not last long, so let's see what is really different this time around. The issues of real autonomy/federalism, and border control don't appear to be properly addressed in this document. Constitutional reform towards the Russian agenda will be impossible for Poroshenko to deliver. And finally and fundamentally why I do not think that the status quo is sustainable – one year ago Russia felt the need to annex Crimea, and intervene in eastern Ukraine. But one year ago Ukraine was no threat to Russia as a) it was non aligned; b) popular support for Nato membership was low single digits, and there was little support in parliament or amongst political elites to drive Ukraine NATO membership. C) the west really did not want Ukraine in NATO as they saw this as a red rag to the Russian bull, and as events have proved could not defend Ukraine under NATO's TOR; c) the Ukrainian military had limited fighting capability as was proven in the early days of the conflict, but subsequently changed; d) the govt in Kyiv was weak and disarray and the Ukrainian economy on the brink of collapse; e) and as events have proven Russia had de facto control of Crimea via the stationing of 26,000 troops and the long term BSF agreement. And f) and finally Ukrainians were not anti-russian or even particularly anti-Putin. If Moscow was not a real threat a year ago, but Moscow felt compelled to intervene, look at the risk from a Russian perspective now from Ukraine – a) Ukraine is no longer non aligned. B) it now wants to join NATO and opinion polls now show majority support for this. C) Ukraine is rebuilding military capability and the military doctrine is now against the threat from Russia; d) Ukraine has a reform admin in Kyiv, which has a real chance of succeeding now with imf support. It can offer a rival and successful model of development to Putin's power vertical and sovereign democracy. E) Opinion polls show strong ukrainian opposition/distaste for the Putin regime. So, net-net the above still suggests the risk of further future Russian intervention in Ukraine.

    P.S.: Please spread this appeal as much as possible.